BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Southern Cal

Class: 1A Class Rank: 19 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (9-1) Overall: (11-3) Overall Strength =  168.88

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   165.55  49  31   1A  80 (  6-  6) Western Michigan       -2.86     20.86                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W * 186.16  42  24   1A  15 (  9-  5) Stanford               17.76      0.24                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   168.65  27  24   1A  20 (  7-  6) Texas                   0.25      2.75                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 171.34  30  20   1A  50 (  5-  7) California              2.94      7.06                      
  5 09/29/2017 Away    L * 162.71  27  30   1A  37 (  9-  4) Washington St          -5.69      2.69                      
  6 10/07/2017 Home    W * 162.13  38  10   1A 122 (  1- 11) Oregon St              -6.27 *   34.27                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    W * 161.26  28  27   1A  34 (  7-  6) Utah                   -7.14      8.14                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    L   144.04  14  49   1A  10 ( 10-  3) Notre Dame            -24.36    -10.64                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away    W * 192.40  48  17   1A  49 (  7-  6) Arizona St             23.99      7.01                      
 10 11/04/2017 Home    W * 173.21  49  35   1A  45 (  7-  6) Arizona                 4.81      9.19                      
 11 11/11/2017 Away    W * 168.69  38  24   1A  71 (  5-  7) Colorado                0.29     13.71                      
 12 11/18/2017 Home    W * 160.09  28  23   1A  56 (  6-  7) UCLA                   -8.31     13.31                      
 13 12/01/2017 Neutral W * 173.51  31  28   1A  15 (  9-  5) Stanford                5.10     -2.10                      
 14 12/29/2017 Neutral L   167.89   7  24   1A   2 ( 12-  2) Ohio State             -0.51    -16.49                      
      Averages             168.40  32.6 26.1

Best game:  192.40 = 31 point win over Arizona St
Worst game: 144.04 = 35 point loss to Notre Dame
Team stdev:  11.58